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Democrat James Talarico to flip Texas Senate seat in historic upset

The result that ends a more than three-decade run of Republican victories in Texas statewide elections.
James Talarico projected to win Texas Senate race
Election 2026 Texas Senate Governor
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Democrat James Talarico defeated Texas Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton on Tuesday, according to a race call from the Associated Press.

The result represents a Democratic victory that would end a more than three-decade streak of Republican wins in Texas statewide elections.

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The race was among the most closely watched contests of the 2026 midterm elections, as Democrats sought to gain the seats needed to take control of the Senate and Republicans worked to defend their majority.

Paxton, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, entered the general election after defeating U.S. Sen. John Cornyn in the Republican primary runoff. He campaigned on conservative priorities, including border security, immigration enforcement and opposition to Democratic policies.

Talarico, a state representative from the Austin area and former middle school teacher, sought to appeal to voters concerned about the cost of living, health care and housing. He also criticized wealthy donors' influence in politics and presented himself as a candidate who could appeal to voters beyond the Democratic Party's traditional base.

The outcome will have implications beyond Texas as Senate control remains a central question of the midterm elections.