KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Good Thursday bloggers,
It is no secret that we need rain. This is the time of year when we see changes in the weather pattern as a new LRC (Lezak's Recurring Cycle) is setting up. The LRC states that a new and unique weather pattern sets up in October and November and begins cycling through the winter, spring and summer.
The first change is the chance for some thunderstorms on Friday. The second change, which is much bigger, occurs next week. There is the potential to see active weather and increased, much-needed rainfall chances.
Let's go through this.
TODAY:
We will see isolated showers and thunderstorms this morning then partly to mostly cloudy and nice the rest of the day. Earlier Thursday morning, we saw a few small showers, thunderstorms south of Kansas City from southeast of Paola, Kansas, to Butler, Missouri.
By noon, we may see a few showers and thunderstorms across southeast Kansas to southwest Missouri.
Highs today will be in the 70s as a system approaches from the northwest. This will help to develop scattered showers and thunderstorms later today across Nebraska and Iowa.
TONIGHT-FRIDAY:
The chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase after midnight as the weather system from the northwest heads in and the warm front to the west moves closer to us.
The best chance to see showers and thunderstorms in our area is between midnight tonight and 10 a.m. Friday. This is a map valid at 7 a.m. Friday. You can see the area of showers and scattered thunderstorms moving in from the north.
By noon on Friday, the showers and thunderstorms will be weakening and tracking off to the south and southeast.
By Friday afternoon, the rain will be gone as we see a partly cloudy sky with highs in the 70s. It will be a nice Friday afternoon and evening.
Some locations will not see a drop of rain, others may see .10"-.50" and a few locations may see .50"-1" of rain.
SATURDAY:
The fronts will become a warm front that sets up south of our area. This means we will see areas of clouds with highs in the 70s. The 90° degree weather will be lurking to the south with any thunderstorms well north across Nebraska and the Dakotas.
SUNDAY:
The warm front surges north on gusty south winds up to 30-40 mph. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s and possibly 90°. (Chiefs forecast below). A cold front will be approaching from the west. It will arrive on Monday, bringing a chance to see scattered showers and thunderstorms.
NEXT WEEK:
The front may stall in our region for two to four days at the surface as a southwest flow sets up over the front. Since the flow will be parallel to the front, it will set up a zone where there will be multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms tracking across the same region.
RAINFALL POTENTIAL NEXT 7-10 DAYS:
When you look at the big view you can see a zone from Baja to the Great Lakes where there are several bullseye's of heavy rain.
One of those heavier areas may be in our region. We have a chance to see 1"-4" of rain the next seven to 10 days. The exact locations of the heaviest rain are far from set. But, at least it is looking like we are in the zone where we have increased rain chances. Perhaps we can reverse the growing drought. We will have to follow this day by day as the weather pattern changes.
We have a lot of outdoor activities this weekend, including 3 big football games. Saturday, TCU comes to K-State, Alabama comes to Mizzou, and Sunday the Lions come to Arrowhead. The Chiefs game is on KSHB41 for Sunday night football.
The weather looks good for all the games. But, it will be very warm and windy for tailgating at Arrowhead. The weather will be good to go to pumpkin patches, but it won't really feel like pumpkin patch weather.
TCU VS. K-STATE:
There may be an isolated shower, T-Storm, but overall the weather looks great.
ALABAMA VS. MIZZOU:
This is going to be a tough game, but the weather will be easy to handle.
LIONS VS. CHIEFS ON KSHB41:
If you are heading to Arrowhead and tailgating, keep the plastic ware secure as winds will be gusting to 30-40 mph from the south.
Have a great weekend
Stay healthy
GO CHIEFS!
