Weather Blog: Tough Forecast Today

Posted at 9:24 AM, Nov 18, 2019
and last updated 2019-11-18 10:24:01-05

Good Monday bloggers,

We have three systems to track this week. They each have their unique forecast challenges.

SYSTEM #1: This is moving through today from northwest to southeast. It is playing havoc with our temperature forecast. A warm front in central Kansas will be swinging this way and locations west of the front will become sunny with highs 65°-70°. Locations to the east of the front will stay cloudy along with a few rain showers and highs in the low 50s. And, of course, KC is on the border of both scenarios. We are leaning with being just barely on the cool side. So, our highs will be in the low to mid 50s along with a few showers being possible this afternoon. A shift east by 30 miles, then we touch 60°. A shift west by 30 miles, we struggle to 50°

SYSTEM #2: This moves in from the southwest Wednesday afternoon/night, exiting Thursday morning. It will bring rain and wind and mild air. Temperatures will be 60°-65° into Wednesday night with the rain. We could see a thunderstorm or two. Rainfall looks to be .10" to 70". Temperatures will return to the low 40s by Thursday morning.


SYSTEM #3: This is for Friday after colder air moves in behind the second storm. We have had all kinds of solutions with this system. Some data suggest it stays well south bringing just clouds. Other data has it coming north in a weak way bringing scattered rain and snow showers with a chance for a few slick spots Friday night. Then, some data has it coming north as a stronger system. This would bring rain to accumulating snow around here. It is too early to lean with any solution at this time. Stay tuned!

Have a great week.