The weather pattern is now set, but a lot of questions remain. What are we going to experience during these next 90 days? Will the kids get their first snow day in three years? Yes, it has been almost three years since our last snow day for the kids. That is a real snow day. They did get a Royals snow day for the parade last year.
It is looking pretty good kids. I mean good for a snow day!
The weather pattern is cycling according to my theory, the LRC. We are still learning more about this pattern, but there are a lot of indications that point in the direction of colder than last winter and snowier.
This will not be a hard thing for us to accomplish. Why? Last winter was one of the warmest in Kansas City history and we only had 5.9” of snow.
During a typical winter, Kansas City averages close to 19” of snow. Snowfall can be as low as only 3.9”, like what fell in the winter of 2011-2012. But, there have been a few years with more than 40” and even a couple that had close to 60” of snow or more.
This fall has been quite mild, and this will be one of the warmest Novembers in our history. This is part of the pattern. It has also been dry. So, according to my theory and our analysis, we are forecasting above average temperatures this winter with below average snow.
Our weather team has forecasted anywhere from 11” to 23” with an average of 17”. My forecast is for us to have a fairly dry winter with 14.5” of snow. This is still almost nine more inches than last winter.
You can read more about this in our weather blog. We are monitoring this closely. Look for an update to this forecast in around two weeks. Stay with 41 Action News and we’ll keep you advised.
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Gary Lezak can be reached at gary.lezak@kshb.com.
