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Weather Blog: A Brief Snow Shower this Evening?

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Posted at 9:07 AM, Dec 10, 2019
and last updated 2019-12-10 11:36:07-05

Good Tuesday bloggers,

TODAY: We are tracking a small disturbance that was located in extreme southwest Nebraska and northeast Colorado early Tuesday morning. It is moving southeast towards our region and will arrive 5-8 PM today. It will bring a period of clouds and perhaps a brief, small snow shower in a few locations. We do not expect any big issues.

Temperatures today will stay cold as a weak reinforcing cold front drifts through. Highs will range from the mid 20s in northern Missouri to around 40° from Iola, KS to Clnton, MO to the Ozarks. And, a brief snow shower is possible 5-8 PM.

TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY: Temperatures will drop to around 15-20 by midnight and then hold steady or rise a few degrees by morning as a warm front forms to our north. Our winds will shift to the south. The warm front looks like it will be located to our north Wednesday. This will create a huge temperature contrast across the middle of the country. Highs will range from around 0° in the northern Plains to 50s in the central and southern Plains. We are near the boundary, but we should be on the warmer side. If the front slips south by 100 miles our highs will be in the 30s. This will all be going on under a mostly sunny sky.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY: The warmer air will surge north and we are looking at highs 45-55 under a partly cloudy sky.

SATURDAY-CHIEFS SUNDAY: This is where it gets interesting. Colder air will move in Saturday and then a storm system moves across the Plains Sunday. It does look like there will be a snow producing system. But, here are the questions.

1. Where will it track? The data from Monday night pushed the storm farther south.
2. How strong will it be? It may take a track perfect to bring us snow, but it could be a very weak system. The data has been mostly showing a stronger system.
3. Will the storm move in to the Plains Sunday or Monday? Some data hints at a weak system Sunday and the bigger system Monday.

The bottom line is that we will likely be set up for snow, but the three questions above need an answer to make a solid forecast. It will take 2-3 days before we can figure this out.

Have a great day.