Good first day of May bloggers,
It is hard to believe it is May after a rather odd April in many aspects. The weather was odd for sure. This is also April statistics day so lets start by looking back at April 2020. We had 10 freezes and we had freezing rain on the 3rd. The coldest temperature was 25 on the 10th and we made a run at 90 on the 8th. This was just 5 days after we had freezing rain. Officially, rainfall was 0.39" below average at KCI with 3.34". Overland Park was a bit above average rainfall with 3.81" as were other areas around the region.
May started with a gorgeous sunrise and temperatures in the 50s. The first weekend of May has one main rain chance, so lets go through the forecast.
FRIDAY: The wind will pick up from the south to 15-25 mph taking our highs to around 80. There will be periods of mostly high clouds as a weak disturbance moves by.
SATURDAY: The cold front will stall in our region Saturday. Lows will be around 60 with highs reaching the 80s. Also, during the day you will notice the humidity increase making for a somewhat steamy afternoon. North of the front highs will be in the 70s. The front will be inactive through the day. When you have a stalled front with heat and humidity and it is early May you think about the chance of severe weather. This case will be a bit different.
SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY: The front will head south as a cold front as a disturbance comes in from the northwest. This will generate scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few thunderstorms may contain small hail. The reasons why we will not have major severe weather is the flow aloft is not quite strong enough plus the event is occurring mostly at night and behind the front when and where it is cooler. Lows will drop to the 50s and low 60s.
SUNDAY: Any showers and thunderstorms will exit around sunrise leading to a near perfect day. Highs will be in the low 70s with a light northeast wind and lower humidity.
RAINFALL FORECAST THIS WEEKEND: If you get a thunderstorm Saturday night you could see around .50" of rain. Otherwise, amounts will be a trace to .25". This data has the thunderstorms tracking south and east of KC. They could end up farther north and west.
I mowed my yard on Thursday and it was quite a challenge. The sun and warmth following the rain made the grass grow rapidly. Today and Saturday are the best days to mow. It will be a bit warm and humid Saturday, so today may be the best day. Sunday actually won't be too bad either, but if you get a thunderstorm Saturday night the grass may be a bit wet. Another system may bring scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday, so we have that day in the maybe category.
The severe weather threats are pretty low through the first week of May. We will be looking to the second half of May for increased severe weather chances.
Have a great weekend and stay healthy.