Good afternoon bloggers,
Sorry about the late blog, as we have been analyzing some major changes in the weather pattern. Many of you have been reading our blogs for almost 20 years now, and we appreciate this, and that you know a little about the LRC.
According to my theory, the weather pattern evolves from around the first week of October through November. So, we are just now beginning the new LRC, and it is not set yet. It is developing right before our eyes, and there is a massive change possible within a week.
Confidence is still shaky, but major changes that include a storm forming west of Kansas City are showing up.
This is the seven-day forecast we showed on the midday newscast, but I am working on some changes to it right now as I analyze the new data.
Our new meteorologist, Wes Peery, is doing an outstanding job. He showed how there is a big difference between the American Model (GFS) and the European Model (ECMWF) for next week.
The Euro has been consistently diving in energy over the western half of the nation. If this is correct, then our chance for significant rainfall increases. I am leaning in this direction, but, as I said, confidence is still shaky.
If the new LRC was set up already, I would have much more confidence, but the LRC is far from set up. It is evolving now.
There is a strong cold front that is going to be caught in this changing pattern later this weekend. The map above shows the front approaching Saturday.
If the Euro is right, the front will stall and the chance of rain will go up next week. We definitely could use a nice soaking. Look at these numbers for October so far:
We are sitting at no rain in October through the middle of the month. Ffor those of you who have been following us for years, you know this is way too early to judge the entire weather pattern.
The National Weather Service will be issuing its winter forecast Thursday, which I am sure you will hear about from various sources.
Remember, they are issuing this report before the winter pattern even sets up. We will discuss that and more on 41 Action News tonight.
Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring the LRC! Have a great day.
Gary
