Good Monday bloggers,
We are tracking one storm system and one cold blast. The storm system we are tracking is now located south of Los Angeles where it is producing some snow in northern Baja, CA. This storm will head northeast Tuesday into the southwest USA and then it will track in to the central USA Wednesday.
There are disturbances out ahead of the main storm that are tracking from the southwest USA to Tennessee Valley. There is also a front stalled down there as well. This is recipe for countless rounds of rain and thunderstorms over the same areas. 4"-8" of rain is likely from east Texas to West Virginia. This is going to cause some major flooding issues this week. The rain down there won't end until the main storm moves east of them Thursday-Friday.
Now, let's see how all of this will affect our region. Here is our latest forecast.
TODAY: Increasing clouds with a light north wind. High: 40-45.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a light north wind. Low: 25-30.
TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy with a light north-northwest wind. High: 40-45. It will be a typical February day. A storm system will be organizing in the southwest USA. It is this storm system that will likely have an impact on our Wednesday.
WEDNESDAY: This is when we have to watch for the one storm system this week. It is looking more likely that the storm will affect us with snow starting early in the morning and ending during the evening. The amount of accumulation will be dependent on temperatures. It looks like highs will be 32-36. So, this may limit accumulation, especially on roads. Snow that comes down before 8 am and after 4 pm will have a better chance to accumulate on all surfaces as there will be no help from daylight. Also, heavier snow during the day will overcome warm surfaces. So, our latest thinking on accumulation is dusting to 4". Also, the snow may mix with or change to rain if it gets any warmer. This will really limit snow totals. This makes it difficult to be more specific on snow amounts at this time.
SNOWFALL FORECAST: So, at this time it looks like a wide swath of a dusting to 4" of snow. We will refine this tomorrow. There is still a chance the storm tracks farther south and puts KC on the north edge of the snow. There is just a 30% chance of that occurring.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: As the snow is ending a blast of cold will be surging south. It arrives around midnight, so by morning lows will be 5-15. This is when surfaces may be the most slick as there will be freezing of water and any slush left from the Wednesday storm.
THURSDAY: It will be mostly sunny, but quite cold with highs 15-25.
VALENTINE'S DAY: It will be a dry day with abundant sunshine, but it will start rather cold. Lows will be 5-15. Highs will recover to the 20s and 30s. There is a trend towards the high being in the 20s as the cold air is bit slow to retreat.
SATURDAY-SUNDAY: It looks warmer again with highs 45-50. There may be some rain Saturday night.
Have a great rest of your week.