Good morning blog readers —
It's Monday, and the rain has started. So when will we get snow? And how much do you need to expect?
Here is a simple timeline of our latest thinking.
Light rain kicked off the morning with wet roads impacting the morning commute.
But the big question is when will the snow arrive and start to really impact us?
Here's a breakdown of the timeline:
Now through 2 p.m.
Rain and rain mixed with some snow are possible. Moderate rates are possible. The initial transition to snow will be seeing big wet flakes mixing in around 12-2 pm.
Mainly snow, heavy at times. Roads remain above freezing, and slushy conditions are expected. Some accumulation is possible on bridges and overpasses.
Snow could take a short break as a dry slot moves in, but don't get fooled — the storm is not over. Expect some light snow to persist with heavier snow continuing north of Kansas City.
11 p.m. - 4 a.m.
Heaviest snow possible. Roads begin to get snow covered and accumulations start to pick up.
Snow will wrap back in through the comma head of this system. This is the best time for accumulations to really kick into gear, especially after midnight.
Snow will be heavy at times and roads deteriorating quickly.
Accumulating snow will continue with gusty north winds now wrapping into the forecast. Snow will move east by middle of the afternoon but gusty cold winds will bring frigid wind chills into the forecast. Expect gusts near 40-45 mph.
Snow totals could be close to one foot as you move NW of KC. Through the metro, expect 3-6".
Snowfall forecast update
New data has been coming in and shows a south shift to the track.
This is bringing the heavier snow totals south. The main part of the snowstorm and accumulation will be between 11 p.m. tonight and noon Tuesday.
Expect roads for much of the day Monday to just be wet. Some slushy accumulations are possible through the evening commute with the first danger spot forming on elevated surfaces Monday night.
The biggest road impact will be Tuesday morning with accumulating snow and snow showers persisting.
7 p.m. Saturday
Planning on heading to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium? Holy moly! It is going to be cold.
This is just a taste of what ONE model is spitting out for the temperature at 7 p.m. Saturday ... so plan for a bitter-cold Chiefs-Dolphins game.
Seriously. Bitter. Cold.