Good Wednesday bloggers,
It was nice to see the sun this afternoon and we do have some more nice weather ahead, despite tracking a front and storm system. Let's go through this.
THURSDAY: The weather will be calm tonight with some fog and low clouds possible by morning. A cold front is approaching and will move into the region tonight, stalling around I-70 Thursday. There may be some showers or drizzle along and north of the front, but it will be mostly dry. It will play havoc with our temperatures. Highs will range from the 50s north to 70s south. This data has the front bisecting KC, but it could set up 20-50 miles farther north or south. The bottom line is that this will be a decent day of weather.
THURSDAY NIGHT: A disturbance will run along the front producing a zone of heavy thunderstorms after midnight. It looks like the best chance of thunderstorm activity will be along and north of the front. This data has the zone near KC. It will depend on where the front is located. In the thunderstorm zone there could be some very heavy rain and small hail. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible around the main zone.
FRIDAY: The Thursday night zone of thunderstorms will exit early Friday. This will leave our region in a mostly cloudy and cooler air mass with the chance for a few rain showers. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s. A strong storm system will be in the southwest USA and this will be tracking out into the Plains Friday night. The front will be the focus for thunderstorms, possibly severe. Right now it looks like the best chance for severe weather Friday will be found across southern Missouri, far southeast Kansas to eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
FRIDAY NIGHT: The storm will be out into the Plains and the stationary front will become a warm front with thunderstorms along and north of it. It looks like the strong to severe thunderstorms will be found across eastern Missouri. We will have to watch the thunderstorms around here as the warm front heads north, but since it arrives later at night it will not be as warm as it would be during the afternoon. So, this could limit our severe threat. We will see temperatures 55-65. Wind, snow and a cold rain will be occurring across western Nebraska to Colorado.
SATURDAY MORNING: The warm front may surge through as the storm system takes off to the north. This will put our region in a dry slot. This means we will see sunshine, strong southwest winds gusting to 45 mph and a warm up to close to 70. The thunderstorms will surge north to I-80.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT: The dry slot will move by as a cold front sweeps through. This will bring an increase in clouds with a few rain showers along with a west-northwest wind gusting to 40-45 mph. Temperatures will drop rapidly from the 60s to 40s, down to the 30s by Sunday morning. The exact timing of the dry slot and cold front are yet to be determined. Regardless, the weather will be changing many times Saturday along with rather windy conditions. The severe threat will shift to locations along and east of the Mississippi river.
The storm is moving fast, so Sunday will start windy and cold, but it will end up being a nice afternoon. It will be mostly sunny with much less wind as highs reach around 60.
Have a great rest of your week and weekend. Stay healthy.