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Weather Blog: The Week Ahead

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Posted at 9:25 AM, May 03, 2020
and last updated 2020-05-03 10:25:34-04

Good Sunday bloggers,

We had an interesting sky to start our Sunday. These ripply clouds are altocumulus clouds and they are officially called undulatus. When you see these clouds precipitation is near. This was the case as we were tracking a disturbance across the plains.

This is a satellite picture from 7:15 AM Sunday. You can see the big red blob which were the tops of severe thunderstorms tracking across southeast Kansas. They were producing mostly quarter sized hail which is the minimum size to be classified as severe. There were some winds of 50-60 mph as well. These will affect southern Missouri, Arkansas and the Tennessee valley as they track southeast at 40-45 mph. You will notice west of the red blob is a clear sky. We are in for a nice Sunday afternoon. Let's go through the week ahead as we are tracking two more systems, nice weather and a May cold blast!

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The sun will be out with a light east-northeast wind. Highs will be 70-75.

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MONDAY MORNING: The next system will be moving in bringing a good chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms could contain hail. Look at the 10 AM Monday forecast temperatures. 56 in KC to 75 in Chanute, KS and 82 at Oklahoma City. So, yes there is a chance of severe weather and we will show the outlook below.

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MONDAY AFTERNOON (AROUND 3 PM): The showers and thunderstorms are moving off into southeast Missouri. Some of the thunderstorms could produce large hail. Our temperatures will be 55-60 while it rises to 90 at Oklahoma City. More significant severe weather will be possible in the warm sector.

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MONDAY AROUND 6 PM: We will be mostly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms and temperatures in the 50s. Severe thunderstorms will be likely from south central Oklahoma to southern Missouri southeast into the Tennessee Valley.

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MONDAY SEVERE WEATHER RISK: A slight risk (level 2 of 5) is located from northeast Oklahoma to southeast Kansas, southern Missouri, east to Tennessee. We are in a marginal risk (level 1 of 5). The main threat around here will be quarter sized hail as we are in the colder air. All forms of severe weather will be possible along I-44.

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TUESDAY: This will be a nice day with highs around 70 after lows around 50. Wednesday will be similar.

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THURSDAY-SATURDAY: We will talk more about this in the coming days. This is the upper level flow for Thursday. A late season piece of the Polar Vortex will drop south into the Great Lakes. This will deliver a blast of cold to locations east of the Rockies with the coldest east of the Mississippi river.

There is also a smaller upper level low Thursday morning in Montana. This will drop southeast and track across the Plains on the western edge of the cold blast. This will generate an area of rain and thunderstorms from the northern Plains to the southeast USA Thursday and Friday, including Kansas City.

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Thursday and Friday will see highs in the 50s and 60s with the chance of rain and then Saturday morning we may see lows in the mid to upper 30s! It will recover fast.

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Have a great weekend and stay healthy.