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Weather Blog - The Battle Between The Models

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Posted at 4:58 PM, Jan 08, 2020
and last updated 2020-01-08 17:58:13-05

Good evening bloggers,

Did you know that Kansas City was rated the #1 most difficult city to forecast the weather for? The storm that is forecast to form later this week is posing all kinds of weather forecast problems. A winter storm is taking aim on the plains states and the southern Great Lakes states. Let's take a look!

There is a big difference between the American Model and the European Model at this moment. When a storm is three days out, a lot can happen. And, this difference is big on amounts, depending on where you live. Take a look at these models as of 5 PM tonight:

This map above shows the American Model, called the GFS model. And, the map below shows the European Model.

The American model has KC on the northwest edge of the snowstorm, while the European model has KC in the middle of the storm. If the European model is right, then the entire Kansas City viewing area will be affected by significant amounts of snow, while if the American model is right, many areas north and west of KC would get no snow at all.

Now, here is the bigger problem. This storm hasn't formed yet, and doesn't form until Friday into Saturday morning. This means that the models will have many more solutions in the next three days. Here are the model solutions as of late this afternoon:

In the next two days this will begin to come into focus. Go to my Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/GaryLezak/

Let me know if you have any questions. And click on the forecast video for the latest forecast on KSHB.com as well. How does 62 degrees sound. This is the forecast for Thursday. The change arrives late Thursday evening as a cold front blasts in.

Have a great evening,

Gary